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Future Car Market Overview – SMR November 2019

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Welcome to our re-named overview, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’.

The content and layout has not changed, but any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: e-mail  andrew.mee@cap-hpi.com

Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. 

As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall Car coverage is 99.7%, with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data.

The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past.

For any further detailed questions, please e-mail smr@cap-hpi.com and we will respond as a matter of urgency.

New Ranges

Vehicles from the following ranges have been included in SMR product for the first time in this month’s publication of SMR budget forecasts:

RANGE

ASTON MARTIN DBS CONVERTIBLE 2019

DS DS 3 ELECTRIC CROSSBACK HATCHBACK 2019

FORD KUGA DIESEL ESTATE 2019

FORD KUGA ESTATE 2019

FORD PUMA HATCHBACK 2019

FORD PUMA HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019

LAND ROVER DEFENDER DIESEL ESTATE 2019

LAND ROVER DEFENDER ESTATE 2019

LAND ROVER DEFENDER ESTATE SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019

MAZDA CX-30 HATCHBACK 2020

MERCEDES-BENZ GLC COUPE 2019

MERCEDES-BENZ GLC ESTATE 2019

MINI ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2020

PEUGEOT E-208 ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2019

PORSCHE TAYCAN SALOON 2019

SEAT MII ELECTRIC HATCHBACK 2019

SKODA KAMIQ DIESEL HATCHBACK 2019

SKODA KAMIQ HATCHBACK 2019

SSANGYONG KORANDO ESTATE 2019

TOYOTA C-HR HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITION 2019

VOLKSWAGEN CALIFORNIA DIESEL ESTATE 2020

VOLKSWAGEN CARAVELLE DIESEL ESTATE 2020


Budget Changes

The overall average budget change at 36/60 is -£16.53

The following models see the largest changes (more than +/- 30%):

CAPID

Description

Change

Reason

84549

BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive 326 M40d 5dr Step Auto 20

-37.29%

Tyre size correction

90942

BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive20d 190 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 20

-30.06%

Tyre size correction

90940

BMW X3 Diesel Estate xDrive20d 190 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Plus Pack] 20

-30.06%

Tyre size correction

90939

BMW X3 Estate xDrive20i 184 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 20

-33.42%

Tyre size correction

90937

BMW X3 Estate xDrive20i 184 M Sport 5dr Step Auto [Plus Pack] 20

-33.42%

Tyre size correction

90854

BMW Z4 Roadster sDrive 30i 258 M Sport 2dr Auto [Plus Pack] 19.5

33.00%

Tyre size correction

90856

BMW Z4 Roadster sDrive 30i 258 M Sport 2dr Auto [Tech/Plus Pack] 19.5

33.00%

Tyre size correction

89995

MINI Clubman Estate 2.0 306 John Cooper Works ALL4 6dr Auto [Nav+ Pack] 19.5

46.78%

Wear rate updates

89224

MINI Clubman Estate 2.0 306 John Cooper Works ALL4 6dr Auto 19.5

46.78%

Wear rate updates

89952

MINI Countryman Hatchback 2.0 [306] John Cooper Works ALL4 5dr Auto 19.5

46.98%

Wear rate updates

89994

MINI Countryman Hatchback 2.0 [306] John Cooper Works ALL4 5dr Auto [Nav+] 19.5

46.98%

Wear rate updates

91076

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Acenta 5dr 19

35.31%

Parts and price updates

91093

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 N-Connecta 5dr 19

35.31%

Parts and price updates

91099

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Premiere Edition 5dr 19

57.49%

Parts and price updates

91095

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna 5dr 19

38.50%

Parts and price updates

91097

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna+ 5dr 19

38.50%

Parts and price updates

91096

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna 5dr DCT 19

38.50%

Parts and price updates

91094

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 N-Connecta 5dr DCT 19

35.31%

Parts and price updates

91100

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Premiere Edition 5dr DCT 19

57.49%

Parts and price updates

91098

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Tekna+ 5dr DCT 19

38.50%

Parts and price updates

91092

Nissan Juke Hatchback 1.0 DiG-T 117 Acenta 5dr DCT 19

35.31%

Parts and price updates

88060

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Exterior+ Pack] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87626

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88125

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87514

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision Pack] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88058

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Bose] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88062

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Bose/Exterior+ Pack] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87629

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87632

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose/Ext+ Pk] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87538

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 N-Sport 5dr 19

41.35%

Parts and price updates

87516

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision Pack] 18

30.68%

Parts and price updates

87540

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 N-Sport 5dr 18

30.68%

Parts and price updates

87631

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 18

30.68%

Parts and price updates

87634

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose/Ext+ Pk] 18

30.68%

Parts and price updates

87628

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 DIG-T 117 Acenta 5dr [Vision/Bose] 18

30.68%

Parts and price updates

87627

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Bose] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87515

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision Pack] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87630

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Ext+ Pk] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87633

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Vision/Ext+ Bose] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88126

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88059

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Bose] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88061

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Exterior+ Pack] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

88063

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 Acenta 5dr Xtronic [Bose/Exter+ Pk] 19

31.64%

Parts and price updates

87539

Nissan Micra Hatchback 1.0 IG-T 100 N-Sport 5dr Xtronic 19

41.35%

Parts and price updates

VAT

VAT is excluded from all calculations.

Service Intervals

All calculations are based upon the service intervals recommended by the manufacturer.

The following factors must be taken into account when setting maintenance budgets

All values are standard average discounted rate by Manufacturer. 
Data includes 2nd & 3rd year warranty only covered exclusively by the Manufacturer. 
No manufacturer goodwill payments are included in the data. 
All costs are original parts price (manufacturers/franchise dealers). 
Vehicle usage is set at medium and assumes on road use only. 
Replacement tyres are assumed to be premium brand. 
Mortality rates are average for standard use. 

Where data is unavailable then certain assumptive aspects of data will be used based on available information for existing models sharing common features. 

In cases where no data is available and there are no common equivalents then either an assumptive figure based on the best available information will be used or alternatively no data will be issued. 

The following elements are excluded from cap hpi gold book SMR

Additional warranty costs
Relief vehicles 
Accident management costs
Road fund license
Insurance costs
Costs of finance
Fuel

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