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Future Car Market Overview – SMR February 2019

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Welcome to our re-named overview, previously known as the ‘gold book SMR editorial’. The content and layout has not changed, but any customer suggestions for improvement would be appreciated: e-mail  andrew.mee@cap-hpi.com

Following our acquisition of Derwent Management Services in 2014, cap hpi Ludlow (Derwent) data has been used to populate our SMR budget forecast product since October 2014, but there have been no technical changes to any of our data files or services. 

As we expected, the new data represented a considerable improvement in terms of vehicle coverage compared to our previous external supplier, with more than 4,200 additional cars and LCVs being valued at implementation. Overall Car coverage is 97.9%, with many of the vehicles valued in gold book for the first time also included in the SMR data.

The new budgets are based on our market leading Burn Rate data and incorporate the latest probability distributions for all elements, based on real world costs. In our opinion, it reflects a much more realistic representation of the likely future SMR expenditure than we were able to display in the past.

For any further detailed questions, please e-mail smr@cap-hpi.com and we will respond as a matter of urgency.

New Ranges

Vehicles from the following new ranges have been included in SMR product for the first time in this month’s publication of SMR budget forecasts:

Range

DACIA DUSTER ESTATE SPECIAL EDITION 2019

DACIA SANDERO STEPWAY HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITION 2019

FORD MONDEO DIESEL ESTATE 2019

FORD MONDEO DIESEL HATCHBACK 2019

FORD MONDEO ESTATE 2019

FORD MONDEO HATCHBACK 2019

FORD MONDEO SALOON 2019

FORD MONDEO VIGNALE DIESEL ESTATE 2019

FORD MONDEO VIGNALE DIESEL HATCHBACK 2019

FORD MONDEO VIGNALE ESTATE 2019

FORD MONDEO VIGNALE SALOON 2019

HYUNDAI KONA HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019

KIA E-NIRO ESTATE SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019

KIA PICANTO HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITION 2019

KIA PRO CEED DIESEL SHOOTING BRAKE 2019

KIA PRO CEED SHOOTING BRAKE 2019

MERCEDES-BENZ B CLASS DIESEL HATCHBACK 2019

MERCEDES-BENZ GLE DIESEL ESTATE 2019

MITSUBISHI ASX ESTATE SPECIAL EDITIONS 2019

NISSAN LEAF HATCHBACK SPECIAL EDITION 2019

PORSCHE 911 [992] CARRERA 4 CABRIOLET 2019

PORSCHE 911 [992] CARRERA CABRIOLET 2019

SEAT TARRACO DIESEL ESTATE 2019

TOYOTA COROLLA SALOON 2019


Budget Changes

The overall average budget change at 36/60 is +£2

The following models see the largest changes (more than +/- 15%):

CAP ID

DEsCRIPTION

80815

BMW 1 Series Diesel Hatchback 116d SE 5dr [Nav/Servotronic] Step Auto 18.5

84452

BMW 1 Series Hatchback 118i [1.5] 136 SE Business 5dr [Nv/Servotrn] Step Auto 18.75

84450

BMW 1 Series Hatchback 118i [1.5] 136 SE Business 3dr [Nv/Servotrn] Step Auto 18.75

80789

BMW 1 Series Hatchback 118i [1.5] 136 SE 5dr [Nav/Servotronic] Step Auto 18.5

80787

BMW 1 Series Hatchback 118i [1.5] 136 SE 3dr [Nav/Servotronic] Step Auto 18.5

83287

BMW 2 Series Active Tourer 220i 192 SE 5dr DCT 18.5

80721

BMW 2 Series Convertible 220i 184 Sport 2dr [Nav] Step Auto 18.5

83375

BMW X2 Hatchback sDrive 20i 192 SE 5dr Step Auto 18.5

84663

Lexus RC F Coupe Special Edition 500 5.0 [463] 10th Anniversary 2dr Auto 18

VAT

VAT is excluded from all calculations.

Service Intervals

All calculations are based upon the service intervals recommended by the manufacturer.

The following factors must be taken into account when setting maintenance budgets

All values are standard average discounted rate by Manufacturer. 
Data includes 2nd & 3rd year warranty only covered exclusively by the Manufacturer. 
No manufacturer goodwill payments are included in the data. 
All costs are original parts price (manufacturers/franchise dealers). 
Vehicle usage is set at medium and assumes on road use only. 
Replacement tyres are assumed to be premium brand. 
Mortality rates are average for standard use. 

Where data is unavailable then certain assumptive aspects of data will be used based on available information for existing models sharing common features. 

In cases where no data is available and there are no common equivalents then either an assumptive figure based on the best available information will be used or alternatively no data will be issued. 

The following elements are excluded from cap hpi gold book SMR

Additional warranty costs
Relief vehicles 
Accident management costs
Road fund license
Insurance costs
Costs of finance
Fuel

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