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Talk around the trade is again of a mixed time that has been the “norm” for the last few months. Again the mention of politics and the uncertainty that surrounds it has been suggested as the cause. It is though that time of year when current used values start to change, but that change over different years, has different causes, be it weather or any number of other reasons. What inevitably happens when things slow are things to try and stir up some extra business and recently there has been a proliferation of manufacturer schemes and extensions to current ones offered in an attempt to stem the tide of reducing new registrations. This does of course have some effect on current used prices, but in this product we are of course looking at the long term predictions, so short term price changes in the future are impossible to predict. Therefore we are more concerned with trends rather than short term changes and at this moment there is little indication that prices are moving in either direction. That said the latest available MCIA statistics (for June) were suggesting economic uncertainties are really starting to undermine consumer confidence in our industry after the second monthly drop. The total number of powered two-wheelers registered at the half way point of the year, that could be considered still in high season was 11,643, a reduction of 11%, although the total for the year to date were 59,784 and is still above the 2018 total for the same period of 57,784 (or 2.9% up). One thing worth a mention again is of success of a particular brand or model and the consequent effect on used price. This is mentioned as currently success from three years ago by Triumph and particularly the popularity of Thruxton 1200R exceeding all expectations, has led to a glut back into the market. This does have a resultant supply/demand change and can flood the dealers with too many of the same model resulting in hand backs and reducing prices. This particular instance (as with others) has been addressed in our current prices publication and a small adjustment in this product. What has happened in the past is a launch of a model is followed by a spike in registrations and selling all at once usually results in them all coming back at once, particularly on a fixed term finance product like PCP and temporarily stresses the used market. We are seeing this at the moment, but as time moves on into a model life, the new purchases start to spread out and so does the termination of the contract. This gives the trade a drip feed rather than a cascade of used stock that tends to be more manageable and has less detrimental effect on used values. In cases like this the future predictions are not as severely changed as the current prices.
New Models
ID
Manufacturer
Model
Derivative
17641
BMW
F850 GS ADVENTURE TE
F850 GS Adventure TE
17642
BMW
F850 GS ADVENTURE RALLYE TE
F850 GS Adventure Rallye TE
17643
BMW
F850 GS ADVENTURE EXCLUSIVE TE
F850 GS Adventure Exclusive TE
17988
AJS
BD125-2 HIGHWAY STAR
BD125-2 Highway Star
Discontinued Models
ID
Manufacturer
Model
Derivative
13477
ZERO ENGINEERING
TYPE 5
Type 5
14316
ZERO ENGINEERING
TYPE 5 SHOVELHEAD
Type 5 Shovelhead
13480
ZERO ENGINEERING
TYPE 9
Type 9
14332
AVINTON
GT CULT
GT Cult
14329
AVINTON
GT DELUX
GT Delux
14330
AVINTON
GT GRAND SPORT
GT Grand Sport
14327
AVINTON
GT ORIGINAL
GT Original
14331
AVINTON
GT SUPER SNAKE
GT Super Snake
14328
AVINTON
GT VINTAGE
GT Vintage
14338
AVINTON
RACE CULT
Race Cult
14335
AVINTON
RACE DELUX
Race Delux
14336
AVINTON
RACE GRAND SPORT
Race Grand Sport
14333
AVINTON
RACE ORIGINAL
Race Original
14337
AVINTON
RACE SUPER SNAKE
Race Super Snake
14334
AVINTON
RACE VINTAGE
Race Vintage
14326
AVINTON
ROADSTER CULT
Roadster Cult
14323
AVINTON
ROADSTER DELUX
Roadster Delux
14324
AVINTON
ROADSTER GRAND SPORT
Roadster Grand Sport
14321
AVINTON
ROADSTER ORIGINAL
Roadster Original
14325
AVINTON
ROADSTER SUPER SNAKE
Roadster Super Snake
14322
AVINTON
ROADSTER VINTAGE
Roadster Vintage
11364
DAELIM
DAYSTAR 125
Daystar VL 125 Fi
15479
HARLEY-DAVIDSON
V-ROD NIGHT ROD SPECIAL
VRSCDX Solid colour (17MY)
14385
HYOSUNG
GD250 N
GD250 N
14386
HYOSUNG
GD250 R
GD250 R
14388
HYOSUNG
GT250 P
GT250 P
14387
HYOSUNG
GT250 RC
GT250 RC
14389
HYOSUNG
GV250
GV250
14392
HYOSUNG
GV650 P
GV650 P
14393
HYOSUNG
ST7
ST7
14427
KEEWAY
BLACKSTER 250
Blackster 250
15233
KEEWAY
RKS 125 SPORT
RKS 125 Sport S
11375
KEEWAY
SUPERLIGHT 125
Superlight 125 [08MY]
16289
MOTO MORINI
GRANPASSO 1200
Granpasso 1200 (17MY)
16287
MOTO MORINI
GRANPASSO R 1200
Granpasso R 1200
16290
MOTO MORINI
SCRAMBLER 1200
Scrambler 1200 (17MY)
16353
ROMET MOTORS
YG48Q-5
YG48Q-5
13476
OUROBOROS
ZAETA 530 DT
Zaeta 530 dt
14318
PATON
CLASSIC TT
Classic TT
17694
SUZUKI
GSX-S1000A
GSX-S1000AL9
17697
SUZUKI
GSX-S1000F
GSX-S1000FAL9
15715
SUZUKI
GSX-S750
GSX-S750A L7
17688
SUZUKI
GSX-S750
GSX-S750AL9
15551
SUZUKI
GSX1300RA HAYABUSA ABS
GSX1300RA L7
15717
SUZUKI
VZR1800Z INTRUDER M1800RBZ B.O.S.S
VZR1800BZ L7
13733
SYM
FIDDLE III 50
Fiddle III 50
11311
SYM
JET 4 50
Jet 4 50
12169
SYM
JET 4 50 R
Jet 4 50 R
12831
SYM
JOYMAX 125i
Joymax 125i
13590
SYM
JOYMAX 300i ABS
Joymax 300i ABS
13591
SYM
MAXSYM 600I
Maxsym 600i
11989
SYM
SYMBA 100
SYMBA 100
8199
SYM
SYMPLY 50
Symply 50
15905
SYM
SYMPLY II 125
Symply II 125