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Future Motorcycle Overview - New/Used Bikes August 2019

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Talk around the trade is again of a mixed time that has been the “norm” for the last few months. Again the mention of politics and the uncertainty that surrounds it has been suggested as the cause. It is though that time of year when current used values start to change, but that change over different years, has different causes, be it weather or any number of other reasons. What inevitably happens when things slow are things to try and stir up some extra business and recently there has been a proliferation of manufacturer schemes and extensions to current ones offered in an attempt to stem the tide of reducing new registrations. This does of course have some effect on current used prices, but in this product we are of course looking at the long term predictions, so short term price changes in the future are impossible to predict. Therefore we are more concerned with trends rather than short term changes and at this moment there is little indication that prices are moving in either direction. That said the latest available MCIA statistics (for June) were suggesting economic uncertainties are really starting to undermine consumer confidence in our industry after the second monthly drop. The total number of powered two-wheelers registered at the half way point of the year, that could be considered still in high season was 11,643, a reduction of 11%, although the total for the year to date were 59,784 and is still above the 2018 total for the same period of 57,784 (or 2.9% up). One thing worth a mention again is of success of a particular brand or model and the consequent effect on used price. This is mentioned as currently success from three years ago by Triumph and particularly the popularity of Thruxton 1200R exceeding all expectations, has led to a glut back into the market. This does have a resultant supply/demand change and can flood the dealers with too many of the same model resulting in hand backs and reducing prices. This particular instance (as with others) has been addressed in our current prices publication and a small adjustment in this product. What has happened in the past is a launch of a model is followed by a spike in registrations and selling all at once usually results in them all coming back at once, particularly on a fixed term finance product like PCP and temporarily stresses the used market. We are seeing this at the moment, but as time moves on into a model life, the new purchases start to spread out and so does the termination of the contract. This gives the trade a drip feed rather than a cascade of used stock that tends to be more manageable and has less detrimental effect on used values. In cases like this the future predictions are not as severely changed as the current prices.

New Models

ID

Manufacturer

Model

Derivative

17641

BMW

F850 GS ADVENTURE TE

F850 GS Adventure TE

17642

BMW

F850 GS ADVENTURE RALLYE TE

F850 GS Adventure Rallye TE

17643

BMW

F850 GS ADVENTURE EXCLUSIVE TE

F850 GS Adventure Exclusive TE

17988

AJS

BD125-2 HIGHWAY STAR

BD125-2 Highway Star

Discontinued Models

ID

Manufacturer

Model

Derivative

13477

ZERO ENGINEERING

TYPE 5

Type 5

14316

ZERO ENGINEERING

TYPE 5 SHOVELHEAD

Type 5 Shovelhead

13480

ZERO ENGINEERING

TYPE 9

Type 9

14332

AVINTON

GT CULT

GT Cult

14329

AVINTON

GT DELUX

GT Delux

14330

AVINTON

GT GRAND SPORT

GT Grand Sport

14327

AVINTON

GT ORIGINAL

GT Original

14331

AVINTON

GT SUPER SNAKE

GT Super Snake

14328

AVINTON

GT VINTAGE

GT Vintage

14338

AVINTON

RACE CULT

Race Cult

14335

AVINTON

RACE DELUX

Race Delux

14336

AVINTON

RACE GRAND SPORT

Race Grand Sport

14333

AVINTON

RACE ORIGINAL

Race Original

14337

AVINTON

RACE SUPER SNAKE

Race Super Snake

14334

AVINTON

RACE VINTAGE

Race Vintage

14326

AVINTON

ROADSTER CULT

Roadster Cult

14323

AVINTON

ROADSTER DELUX

Roadster Delux

14324

AVINTON

ROADSTER GRAND SPORT

Roadster Grand Sport

14321

AVINTON

ROADSTER ORIGINAL

Roadster Original

14325

AVINTON

ROADSTER SUPER SNAKE

Roadster Super Snake

14322

AVINTON

ROADSTER VINTAGE

Roadster Vintage

11364

DAELIM

DAYSTAR 125

Daystar VL 125 Fi

15479

HARLEY-DAVIDSON

V-ROD NIGHT ROD SPECIAL

VRSCDX Solid colour (17MY)

14385

HYOSUNG

GD250 N

GD250 N

14386

HYOSUNG

GD250 R

GD250 R

14388

HYOSUNG

GT250 P

GT250 P

14387

HYOSUNG

GT250 RC

GT250 RC

14389

HYOSUNG

GV250

GV250

14392

HYOSUNG

GV650 P

GV650 P

14393

HYOSUNG

ST7

ST7

14427

KEEWAY

BLACKSTER 250

Blackster 250

15233

KEEWAY

RKS 125 SPORT

RKS 125 Sport S

11375

KEEWAY

SUPERLIGHT 125

Superlight 125 [08MY]

16289

MOTO MORINI

GRANPASSO 1200

Granpasso 1200 (17MY)

16287

MOTO MORINI

GRANPASSO R 1200

Granpasso R 1200

16290

MOTO MORINI

SCRAMBLER 1200

Scrambler 1200 (17MY)

16353

ROMET MOTORS

YG48Q-5

YG48Q-5

13476

OUROBOROS

ZAETA 530 DT

Zaeta 530 dt

14318

PATON

CLASSIC TT

Classic TT

17694

SUZUKI

GSX-S1000A

GSX-S1000AL9

17697

SUZUKI

GSX-S1000F

GSX-S1000FAL9

15715

SUZUKI

GSX-S750

GSX-S750A L7

17688

SUZUKI

GSX-S750

GSX-S750AL9

15551

SUZUKI

GSX1300RA HAYABUSA ABS

GSX1300RA L7

15717

SUZUKI

VZR1800Z INTRUDER M1800RBZ B.O.S.S

VZR1800BZ L7

13733

SYM

FIDDLE III 50

Fiddle III 50

11311

SYM

JET 4 50

Jet 4 50

12169

SYM

JET 4 50 R

Jet 4 50 R

12831

SYM

JOYMAX 125i

Joymax 125i

13590

SYM

JOYMAX 300i ABS

Joymax 300i ABS

13591

SYM

MAXSYM 600I

Maxsym 600i

11989

SYM

SYMBA 100

SYMBA 100

8199

SYM

SYMPLY 50

Symply 50

15905

SYM

SYMPLY II 125

Symply II 125

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